The Earth could be right in the firing line of a Milky Way death-star a
massive supernova explosion, which may shower the planet's biosphere
with a burst of destructive gamma-rays, new research says.
The hot and highly unstable star, known as a Wolf-Rayet, is part of a
spiral nebula in the constellation of Sagittarius and is in the final
stages of collapse.
University of Sydney astronomer Peter Tuthill
warns it could explode "relatively soon", which in astronomical
parlance means any time within the next few hundred thousand years.
For most people, the term death-star conjures images of the planet-destroying space station in Star Wars movies.
While Dr Tuthill's colorful spiral is far more beautiful than that rather ugly and menacing grey sphere, it is no less deadly.
"It's
8000 light years away, but that time frame is the equivalent of just
down the road for astronomers. We know it's certain to go off, and the
Earth seems to be looking right down the rifle barrel, but there's no
need to panic and cash in the insurance policy or the family
heirlooms," he said. "The Earth isn't likely to be blown away, and
there are plenty of uncertainties about whether the gamma rays will
pass to one side, like side-stepping a rifle bullet."
Dr Tuthill
discovered the spectacular pinwheel nebula, known as WR104, eight years
ago while using the world's largest telescope at the Keck Observatory
in Hawaii. At the heart of the system is a pair of hot stars, circling
one another, with colliding dust-laden winds and plumes of gas
"entangled and twisted by the orbital motion". The system rotates in a
circle every eight months, "keeping precise time like a jewel in a
cosmic clock".
Dr Tuthill has published new images of WR104 in
the latest Astrophysical Journal, using a series of time-lapse movie
frames taken over six years which have been stacked into a single-frame
composite. When first studying these images, he noticed something odd
the glowing plumes of red-hot dust and gas which fanned out across a
vast distance "like a giant lawn sprinkler", appeared to be laid out in
the sky like a perfect spiral.
"It could only appear like that if Earth was looking exactly down the axis."
When
the system finally explodes, it could send out a powerful beam of
electromagnetic radiation, or gamma rays. A group of US scientists
calculated that a 10-second burst of gamma rays could deplete as much
as 50 per cent of the Earth's ozone layer, allowing through potentially
deadly radiation.
Dr Tuthill said there was scientific
speculation that a gamma-ray burst from a distant star could explain
evidence of previous mass extinctions seen in the Earth's fossil
record.
"But there are hundreds of uncertainties. Our
calculations may be slightly out, and the beam could miss completely.
Besides, we're not even sure if stars like WR104 are capable of
producing a gamma-ray burst."
Even if Earth isn't
directly in the firing line, these cosmic events serve to remind us
that "we live in a big and scary universe, although we'd like to think
it's safe", Dr Tuthill said. "These things play a haunting little tune
of impermanence and should make us appreciate what a fragile little
jewel of a planet we live on.
"The question really boils down to
whether or not WR104 could generate a gamma-ray burst when it goes
supernova, and that's a question that I think the jury is still out on.
"But in any event we will have a ringside seat for a pretty impressive fireworks display."